Predicting Opposition. Securing Progress.

Data-Driven Social and Environmental Risk Analysis

Don't launch policies or projects without knowing the E&S risk.

Whether it's a new infrastructure or a public policy rollout, 70% of failures stem from social resistance. Use data-driven intelligence to predict and quantify social and environmental risks and secure your license to operate and operational resilience.

The "Soft Risk" Blind Spot:

Traditional Impact Assessments are static. Social Resistance is Dynamic.

The Vicious Cycle of Implementation Failure:

Whether you are building a dam or rolling out a new regulation, the failure pattern is the same. Treating stakeholder engagement as a compliance checkbox creates a ticking time bomb:

1. The Blind Spot:

Grievances and dissent exist but are trapped in PDF reports or ignored.

2. The Breach:

Commitments (mitigation, consultation, compensation) are made but not tracked.

3. The Escalation:

Unresolved grievances gain velocity. For projects, this means protests. For policy, this means political backlash and non-compliance.

4. The Stall:

Political pressure mounts. Implementation is paused.

Our Services

Tailored risk intelligence solutions for every stage of your project lifecycle. How we do this? Through our data-driven methodology, complemented with a senior human layer.

70% of project failures trace back to social resistance, not technical shortfalls, and we realized that there must be a way to detect and quantify risk before it materializes.

We developed a 33-indicator Bayesian environmental and social risk scoring which produces a composite Project E&S Risk Score (0-100) with probability of delay of a project, and, based on data-driven research on opposition, regulatory and project design gaps, stakeholder sentiment, grievances, and comparison with the IFC PS, we provide risk management recommendations.

We deliver Social and Environmental Risk Analysis for your project before or when you are facing local opposition - and tell you exactly how to steer your project back to a Social License to Operate.

A

Risk Snapshot

A 3–5 page cold-start report using only open-source data (public sentiment, media coverage, stakeholder mapping, etc.)

Outputs

  • —Early Social Risk Score
  • —Known opposition groups + active narratives
  • —3 most likely escalation triggers
  • —1-page narrative risk radar

Best for

Early-stage project screening and initial risk assessment

B

Full Risk Analysis

Board-level diligence

Outputs

  • —Stakeholder Heat Map
  • —Top Opposition Triggers With Evidence
  • —Delay Risk Scenarios and Leading Indicators
  • —Priority Actions and Mitigation Backlog With Owners and Timeline
  • —Good practice comparison against the IFC Performance Standards
  • —Executive Memo (max 2 pages)

Best for

High risk transactions, covenant setting, corrective action planning

C

Sentinel Monitoring Subscription

Ongoing intelligence

Outputs

  • —Sentiment updates and narrative shifts
  • —Velocity and escalation flags
  • —Commitments at risk and breach evidence
  • —Policy change watch with delivery impacts
  • —Action lists and decision notes for leadership

Best for

Portfolio supervision and high visibility projects

Additional Services

ESMS Upgrade Sprint

Upgrade your Environmental and Social Management System (ESMS) with screening, categorization, templates, governance, and supervision workflow

High-risk transaction Social and Environmental Due Diligence and Environmental and Social Action Plan (ESAP)

IFC Performance Standard gap analysis, risk register, ESAP, supervision plan, lender-ready memo

Our Mission

We help you identify risks, stakeholders, and solutions to avoid project failure through data-driven insights.

Use data to identify risks

Predict opposition before it derails your projects

Learn about your key priorities to engage stakeholders and public opinion successfully

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